Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.011392 0.013839 0.016930 0.021218 0.027185 0.035472 0.048415
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.008299 0.010948 0.014735 0.020852 0.031176 0.049516 0.089661
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.006464 0.008916 0.012673 0.019314 0.032013 0.058939 0.137383
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.005390 0.007679 0.011371 0.018370 0.033190 0.069977 0.214017
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.004756 0.006972 0.010717 0.018294 0.036032 0.088123 0.384560
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.004355 0.006560 0.010453 0.018858 0.040707 0.118459 0.875714
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003976 0.006116 0.010030 0.018933 0.044241 0.152022 2.223841
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003575 0.005575 0.009315 0.018129 0.044785 0.174705 5.290303
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003285 0.005193 0.008849 0.017788 0.046706 0.211766 25.022762
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003146 0.005072 0.008885 0.018719 0.053938 0.315763 NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003067 0.005051 0.009125 0.020292 0.065483 0.553057 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002988 0.005016 0.009329 0.021858 0.079300 1.068139 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002784 0.004737 0.008985 0.021838 0.086450 1.793260 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002582 0.004439 0.008560 0.021460 0.091758 3.046052 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002345 0.004046 0.007842 0.019861 0.087155 3.478597 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002165 0.003755 0.007337 0.018879 0.086324 4.775230 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002046 0.003582 0.007103 0.018800 0.092764 11.016683 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001968 0.003488 0.007049 0.019386 0.106579 80.057142 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001877 0.003356 0.006878 0.019464 0.116509 15538.902107 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.001761 0.003159 0.006509 0.018629 0.115417 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001672 0.003016 0.006270 0.018274 0.119883 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001635 0.002986 0.006331 0.019242 0.144992 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001618 0.002998 0.006515 0.020878 0.190220 NaN NaN